Estimates have been cut for Goldman, and a few outliers have also lowered numbers on Morgan Stanley. JPMorgan already announced its writedown, and the valuation is reflecting that news. Overall, the quarter will not be great for the industry, but the shares have come back down, the valuations look attractive and expectations are still muted.
Goldman is the best name in the space, and if it gets to $150, I'll be all over it. Morgan Stanley has a world-class investment bank, and I like its diversified business lines. JPM's large deposit base and risk management make it very attractive to own for the long term. So, if the stocks get to my buy levels of GS at $150, MS at $35 and JPM at $35, I will continue to pick up shares. These companies are the long-term winners here.
Energy stocks are strong today despite the big oil inventory number (9 million increase vs. 1 million expected). But the larger-than-expected natural gas drawdown has helped the group and the sentiment. I trimmed shares yesterday on the strength and will continue to trade around my core positions, especially given the volatility.
Cabot (COG:NYSE) is still very cheap despite its move off of $38. Devon (DVN:NYSE) has the most diversified properties and huge cash position. And National Oilwell Varco (NOV:NYSE) dominates in the rig market, which is tighter than it's ever been. Foster Wheeler (FWLT:Nasdaq) and Freeport-McMoRan (FCX:NYSE) continue to be my favorite ways to play global infrastructure growth, which I still believe will be strong.
All in all, I like the balanced names in the fund and will continue to look for opportunities to trade around my core holdings.
Regards,
Jim Cramer
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DISCLOSURE: At the time of publication, Cramer was long GS, MS, JPM, COG, DVN, NOV, FWLT and FCX.
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I am up around 10% in both positions and think it makes sense to take profits.
01/05/09 - 03:32 PM ESTThis ETF is a great way to play the coming snapback.
01/05/09 - 02:15 PM ESTThis new titan is one for the long haul.
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